We delve knee-deep into the Opta statistics to determine whether the Premier League’s newest star will be a success!
A lot of speculation has surrounded the arrival of Dzeko at Man City. Some think it is a waste of money on a player who still has a lot to prove. Some think that the £27m reported fee is fully justified for a player who boasts a record of 66 goals in 111 games for Wolfsburg. This is a point 0.59 Wolfsburg career goal ratio, or more simply, a goal every other game. Dzeko also has a similar goal ratio for the Bosnia and Herzegovina national side with 17 goals in 31 games, which translates into a ratio of 0.54.
So can this 24 year old justify his lofty price tag? Will he be worth his weight in euro gold at such a young age? Or should City have gone after Darren Bent? Lets have a look at what this boy is about.
Well, Dzeko’s first game, as reported in ‘Noob Watch’ on Football Rascal, went well. An understandably rusty first half with some key involvement, rounded off with a positive second half display. With any player it takes time to adapt to the pace and power of the Premier League, but does his style fit?
Dzeko is a lean 6ft 3½ins striker, who defenders know about when he plays. McClaren highlighted his attributes saying, “He is a big lad, but strong and quick too, and he also has good technique.” The ‘wally with the brolly’ is bang on here.
If you watch the youtube of his 10 best goals you will see all of this in abundance. You will see he has the power to hold off defenders, take the ball on his chest, either hit it top corner or power past them and finish. You will see he can improvise, head the ball, strike left foot or right foot (primary). He has the technique to faintly chip a ball, ping a ball on the half volley, or deftly curl the ball in to the top corner. This boy has it all and the scary thing is that most of his top 10 are from only 3 touches maximum.
Ex Wolfsburg coach Felix Magath stated, ‘He is accurate in what he does and doesn’t need to think as he seems to know what he wants the moment it reaches him’.
But let’s see what his stats from Wolfsburg show and how he compares to Man City’s best:
If we look at the stats, the only real comparison is between Dzeko and Tevez due to the amount of games played.
The stats make interesting reading with a similar game to goal ratio with Tevez at 0.64 and Dzeko on 0.62 – these figures suggest that if the form can be reproduced by Dzeko in the Premier League, Manchester City are probably going to have the best striking partnership around. Dzeko doesn’t get as many assists and has longer in between them, but you would expect this from a player who is more an out and out striker.
Possibly this will increase as he is in a better team. Don’t be fooled by the lower chance conversion rate, the others look favourable as they have played fewer games.
Maybe spare a thought for Adebayor whose stats are good for the amount of games played … a player who will be a real asset if he moves on. Maybe his attitude has cost him his chances at Eastlands?
I think there is no doubt Dzeko will be a huge success at Man City. It is almost like he is built for the Premier League. The only thing that could hold him back is himself. He is an athlete, and Gareth Bale has shown how the modern Premier League can be dominated by simplicity, pace, and power.